The project will resume in 2024, where it was left off in 2023.
In a similar vein to the majority of legacy media outlets, CBS News is engaged in a frantic search for positive news stories about a Democratic president, despite the lack of suggestions from the network that Biden should withdraw. This implies that the negative aspects of the situation are not emphasised, as Anthony Salvanto, the executive director of elections and surveys at CBS News, has stated that the public perceive the recent economic improvement as a less significant negative factor.
A further indication of the prevailing mood is provided by the finding that 66% of the public believes that the situation is deteriorating. It is therefore unsurprising that the most recent poll conducted by CBS News has revealed that the approval rating of President Joe Biden, who is pro-abortion, is 18 points below the level of disapproval. In other words, 59% of respondents expressed disapproval of Biden, while 41% approved.
It is noteworthy that the latest unfavorable figures are not the sole focus of interest; rather, the extent to which his colleagues in the media persist in attempting to derive positive outcomes from unfavorable circumstances, even as the negative developments accumulate, is worthy of consideration.
The following is a reproduction of the headline and subhead in a story that was published last week in USA Today. The article was written by Susan Page, Savannah Kuchar, and Sudiksha Kochi.
A fraying coalition: Black, Hispanic, young voters abandon Biden as election year begins
In a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll, Biden’s failure to consolidate his victorious 2020 support has left him narrowly trailing Trump.
The narrative commences on a dismal note. In the run-up to the election year, President Joe Biden is facing a challenging situation, with alarming weakness among the Democratic Party’s traditional supporters. Donald Trump is currently leading among Hispanic voters and young people, according to a USA Today report. One in five Black voters now indicates that they will support a third-party candidate in November.
The situation becomes increasingly dire:
In a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll, Biden’s failure to consolidate support among key parts of the coalition that elected him in 2020 has left him narrowly trailing Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, 39%-37%; 17% support an unnamed third-party candidate.
When seven candidates are named, Trump’s lead widens to 3 percentage points, 37%-34%, with independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. topping the third-party list on 10%.
In a remarkably understated manner, the reporters inform us that the findings serve to highlight the considerable political challenge that the president will face this year in order to secure a second term in office.
I recall how my friends reacted when I highlighted Trump’s efforts to gain support among Black communities during the 2016 and 2020 election campaigns. Biden currently enjoys the support of just 63% of Black voters, a significant decline from the 87% he secured in 2020, according to the Roper Center.
The figure is so startling that it causes the reader to take a momentary pause and reflect. Biden is currently trailing among Hispanic voters by 5 percentage points, with 39% of respondents indicating support for him and 34% indicating support for Trump. In 2020, however, he enjoyed a significant advantage among this demographic group, with 65% of respondents indicating support for him and 32% indicating support for Trump.
Gallup has identified a number of challenges facing Biden, with only 30% of Americans indicating that the incumbent is providing sufficient attention to the issues most important to them. This is a concern, given that this figure is below the level observed for his predecessor.
What about specific issues? Using the Real Clear Politics average of the most respected polls, we find the following results:
* On inflation, 32.4% of respondents approve, while 64.4% disapprove.
* On foreign policy, 35% of respondents approve, while 60% disapprove.
* On crime, 36.5% of respondents approve, while 57% disapprove.
Another significant issue is that of immigration.
A recent poll has revealed that President Biden’s approval rating in relation to his handling of immigration has reached an all-time low. In the CBS News poll released on Sunday, just 32 percent of respondents indicated approval of the manner in which Biden has handled the border issue. This figure represents the lowest approval rating for the president on this question in the history of the poll, according to The Hill’s Lauren Sforzas. The poll revealed that 68% of respondents disapproved of the manner in which Biden was handling the border issue.
In the context of the future, it is possible to identify a number of factors that will have a negative impact on the presidency of Joe Biden. President Biden is 81 years of age; two weeks following the election, he will reach the age of 82. Should he be reelected, President Biden would be 86 years of age when his second term comes to an end.
The British publication The Economist discusses the concerns of Democrats.
“It is Mr Biden’s weak poll numbers that are sowing the seeds of anxiety. The Economist’s polling tracker for the Republican primary puts Mr Trump more than 50 percentage points ahead of his nearest rival, making him the prohibitive favourite. A RealClearPolitics average of general election polls shows Mr Trump leading Mr Biden by 2.3 percentage points.
It would be beneficial to ascertain the rationale behind this discrepancy.
This is well above his performance in the last two presidential elections, in which he [Trump] consistently trailed in the polls. At this point in 2016, Mr Trump’s support was seven points lower: he trailed Hillary Clinton by five points. At this point in 2020, he was five points behind Mr Biden.
Consequently, when an individual asserts that there is a considerable distance to traverse, this assertion is indeed accurate. Nevertheless, it is equally accurate to conclude that, according to the polls, Mr. Trump is in a more favorable position than he was four and eight years ago.
I would like to cite a lengthy passage from The Economist, which succinctly encapsulates a multitude of variables.
Underlying Mr Trump’s strength is a broad political shift. Party loyalties in America may seem hysterically entrenched, but they are in fact mutable. White working-class voters propelled Mr Trump to victory in 2016; in the years since, the non-white working class has also begun to shift. Between 2016 and 2020, Hispanic Americans, once fairly loyal Democratic voters, moved 18 points towards the Republicans. Blacks are also slowly moving away from the Democrats. Only the influx of white college graduates has kept the Democratic Party competitive nationally. These demographic trends are significant enough to determine the outcome of the election if they continue – and they appear to be. Recent polls suggest that Mr Trump’s support among African-American and Hispanic voters is higher than it will be in 2020. “It seems like the 2024 polls right now are 2020 trends carried forward,” says Patrick Ruffini, a Republican pollster.
As previously stated, we have written on numerous occasions about these developments. It is therefore encouraging to hear The Economist reach the same conclusion.
To conclude, it is worth noting that President Biden’s approval ratings at a comparable point in his presidency compare favourably with those of former President Trump.
Secular trends aside, there is clearly a problem with Mr Biden himself. The president’s net approval rating is -16 points, according to several public polling averages. That is significantly worse than Mr Trump’s at this point in his presidency. Voters are concerned about his fitness for office. One of YouGov’s weekly polls for The Economist in December found that 55% of Americans believe that 81-year-old Mr Biden’s health and age “severely limit his ability to do the job of president”, including 25% of Democrats. Only 24% of Americans want him to run again. A full 61% do not, including 38% of those who voted for him in 2020.
Furthermore, it is worth noting that this is accompanied by a particularly ominous note.
In the poll, 44% of Trump supporters describe themselves as a “10” on a thermometer measuring enthusiasm, the highest possible level. Among Biden supporters, less than half as many, 18%, describe themselves as a “10”.
Yikes!
Daniel Miller is responsible for nearly all of National Right to Life News' political writing.
With the election of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency, Daniel Miller developed a deep obsession with U.S. politics that has never let go of the political scientist. Whether it's the election of Joe Biden, the midterm elections in Congress, the abortion rights debate in the Supreme Court or the mudslinging in the primaries - Daniel Miller is happy to stay up late for you.
Daniel was born and raised in New York. After living in China, working for a news agency and another stint at a major news network, he now lives in Arizona with his two daughters.
