Trump and Clinton tied in new CBS/NY Times poll

By Dave Andrusko

pollTrumpClinton94The six point lead pro-abortion Hillary Clinton enjoyed last month over billionaire Donald Trump has evaporated, the latest CBS/New York Times poll reveals. The candidates are tied at 40% each among a survey of 1,358 registered voters. When Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is added, Trump and Clinton remained tied, this time at 46%.

The lead sentence in the New York Times story written by Amy Chozick and Dalia Sussman is brutally honest:

Hillary Clinton has emerged from the F.B.I. investigation into her email practices as secretary of state a wounded candidate with a large and growing majority of voters saying she cannot be trusted, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

Honest and trustworthy? Sixty-seven percent say Clinton is not, “up from 62 percent last month and the highest percentage this election cycle,” the Times reported. “Only 28 percent view her as honest.” Moreover, “fewer now say she is prepared for the job of president than did so last month – although half still say she is.”

Mirroring other recent polls, the CBS/New York Times survey found that Clinton is now even more unpopular than Trump. Just 28% have a favorable opinion of the former Secretary of State (down from 33% last month) compared to 30% for Trump (up from 26% last month). This is the first time that Trump’s favorables, low as they are, are higher than Clinton’s.

The fallout over the FBI’s decision not to charge Clinton for her use of a private email server while Secretary of State is impossible to miss. According to the CBS News story written by Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus, and Anthony Salvanto.

On the email matter specifically, most voters think Clinton did something wrong when she set up a personal email address and server for work while she was Secretary of State, including 46 percent who think what she did was illegal, up slightly from 41 percent last month.

True, but this ignores that another 23% said what she did was improper but not illegal.

The Times story offers other important details. For example on the all-important issue of handling the economy and jobs, there has been a huge turnaround:

Mrs. Clinton has largely based her campaign on lifting the economic fortunes of a middle class that has felt squeezed after nearly 15 years of stagnant wages, a message that should fit with the current climate. Yet voters increasingly view Mrs. Clinton as less able to fulfill that economic promise. Last month, those polled were evenly split on whether Mrs. Clinton or Mr. Trump would do a better job handling the economy and jobs. Now, 52 percent said Mr. Trump would be better, compared with 41 percent for Mrs. Clinton.

In addition

Independents have changed since the last poll. Clinton has lost some ground with independent voters and they have now swung Trump’s way. Independents were virtually split in last month’s poll, but Trump now leads Clinton by 12 points among them.

Trump widened his lead among white voters from six points last month to 13 points now, and while Clinton led with white women last month (a group Romney won in 2012), the candidates are now even among white women.

Neither the stories nor the data available to the public online gave specific numbers for “nonwhites” (African-Americans and Hispanics). According to the New York Times, “Mrs. Clinton maintaining her double-digit edge among women and nonwhites.”