By Dave Andrusko
Whether Sen. Ted Cruz’s crushing victory yesterday in Wisconsin’s Republican primary is actually a “turning point, a “pivotal moment,” or results that “fundamentally changed the trajectory of the race,” the universal consensus is that the odds against Donald Trump reaching the magical 1,237 delegates before the July national convention in Cleveland have lengthened.
While not as dramatic in the big picture, Democratic Socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders’ 13-point victory over Hillary Clinton means he has won seven of the last eight contests over the former Secretary of State. He also has outraised her three consecutive months.
The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel put it this way: “The front-runners on both sides fell hard in Wisconsin’s presidential primary Tuesday, injecting new intrigue, chaos and drama into an epic campaign.”
The Washington Post chimed in, “As recently as three weeks ago, it was looking as though none of the laws of political physics applied to the phenomenon that is Donald Trump. But the days since his strong showing in the March 15 round of primaries have seen the GOP front-runner make a series of stumbles over his own feet. No longer does he appear to be invulnerable to gaffes and mistakes that would have destroyed a more conventional candidate before the Iowa caucuses.”
In his victory speech Tuesday, Sen. Cruz spoke of his victory as “a turning point. It is a rallying cry,” adding, “We are not here to curse the darkness, but to light the candle that can guide us … to a safe and sane future.”
While he is still behind Trump in delegates, Cruz predicted, “Either before Cleveland or at the convention in Cleveland, together we will win a majority of the delegates.”
The exact numbers are continually fluctuating, but Trump has somewhere in the neighborhood of 758 delegates to 517 for Cruz. (Kasich has 143 delegates, almost half of which he won in his home state of Ohio.)
According to Real Clear Politics, Mrs. Clinton has 1,748 delegates as compared with 1,058 for Sen. Sanders. The magic number for Democrats is 2,382.