By Dave Andrusko
As we do every week, here’s an overview of the latest polls. Here’s a very brief sampling:
· Gallup has Mitt Romney and President Obama tied at 47%. Rasmussen finds Romney ahead by one point.
· Gallup also found that Romney leads Obama among men 50% to 42%. Mr. Obama leads Mr. Romney by the same 50% to 42% margin among women. Gallup’s Frank Newport notes, however, “The gender gap is driven mostly by the underlying differences in party identification. Women are more likely to identify as Democrats and less likely to identify as independents than are men. Within party groups, gender gaps are quite small.”
· A Fox News poll found Mr. Romney ahead by a single point—45% to 44%–among likely voters. Among registered voters (a less reliable measure) Obama is ahead 44% to 42%.
· RealClearPolitics aggregate of polls find Mr. Obama ahead by less than one percentage point.
· CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University poll numbers from three important swing states –Florida, Ohio, and Wisconsin–show the race becoming even tighter. In two of the three the races are a virtual tie. Rasmussen has Obama up by one (47% to 46%) in Missouri, another swing state.