By Dave Andrusko Tucked away in the current conventional wisdom about the status of the presidential contest between pro-life Mitt Romney and pro-abortion Barack Obama is an important truth and a very questionable conclusion. The truth is the race remains very, very, very tight. The highly questionable conclusion is that somehow President Obama now has …Continue reading "If you read those polls carefully…."
By Dave Andrusko Some things ARE inevitable, one of which is that pollsters, especially those that work with media outlets, would eventually strike back at charges that many of their polls are severely skewed against Mitt Romney. The basic criticism of their methods—which we have talked about on many occasions at NRL News Today—is simple: …Continue reading "Pollsters defend methods that assume more Democrats than Republicans will vote in 2012"
By Tom Blumer As of midnight, Real Clear Politics showed Barack Obama with a 2.9-point lead over Mitt Romney in the average of the most recent six presidential election polls. One of those polls is a P-U production of Pew Research Center which shows Obama up by 8 points among 2,343 registered voters. The preposterous …Continue reading "Romney Is Finished’ Update: RCP Average, After Correcting For Poll Cooking, Has Prez Race in Virtual Dead Heat"
By Dave Andrusko Rasmussen Reports today verifies what the recent Washington Post/ABC News poll concluded: after both party conventions, the race between pro-life Mitt Romney and pro-abortion President Barack Obama is back where has been–within a point. The President initially enjoyed a modest surge following last week’s Democratic National Convention, but now leads Romney 46% …Continue reading "Rasmussen Confirms: only one point separates Obama and Romney"
By Dave Andrusko One last item today, the first day of the Democratic National Convention. Rasmussen reported over the weekend that those who consider themselves Republican hit an all-time high in August, jumping by nearly three points—from 34.9% in July to 37.6%. (The previous peak was 37.3% in September 2004. Rasmussen first reported these numbers …Continue reading "Rasmussen reports percentage identifying as Republican highest since it began recording these numbers in 2002"
By Dave Andrusko Gallup reported yesterday that “GOP Favorability Matches 2008 Pre-Convention Level: Democrats’ image ties GOP’s, but at two-decade convention-time low.” While Republicans’ favorability ratings have improved somewhat since 2008, over the same period the numbers for Democrats have experience a gigantic drop (“cratered,” according to Ed Morrissey)–an amazing 24 points! In 2008 the …Continue reading "Major Changes in Favorability figures ominous trend for Democrats"
By Dave Andrusko As we do every Friday, we end this week’s National Right to Life News Today with a review of what the poll numbers tell us. Previously we discussed the “intensity gap”: Republicans hold a twelve point advantage. We also talked about Rasmussen’s presidential poll which shows pro-life Mitt Romney ahead of pro-abortion …Continue reading "Friday’s look at the Polls"
By Dave Andrusko The last item for Thursday’s edition of National Right to Life News Today, as it often is, is an update on the presidential race. Yesterday we talked about a Quinnipiac survey of three “swing states” for CBS/New York Times. Romney is ahead in Colorado (50% to 45%) but trails Obama in Virginia …Continue reading "Rasmussen has Romney up four; other polls show “enthusiasm gap” favoring Republicans"
By Dave Andrusko It’s Friday, which means we’ll be running a couple of stories about the 2012 presidential contest. Let me begin with a follow up on a story we ran yesterday. It is a stunner, both for what it says and for the obvious lack of understanding what it meant. We talked about yet …Continue reading "An Update on a ridiculously flawed Pew Poll"
By Dave Andrusko Today’s “who-do-they-think-they’re-fooling?” poll comes courtesy of Pew Research. While Rasmussen has pro-life Mitt Romney ahead of pro-abortion President Barack Obama by two points and every other legitimate poll has the two men within a point or two, Pew tells us today that Obama has a “double digit lead”—51% to 41%. Ten points! …Continue reading "Another Day, another bogus poll"
By Dave Andrusko When and if a poll based on a sample that is fairly representative of the real world comes out showing President Obama well ahead of Mitt Romney, NRL News Today will report it as such and encourage pro-lifers to work even harder. Well, I’m still going to ask you to work overtime …Continue reading "A flighty poll vs. a nuts-and-bolts assessment of the basics"
By Dave Andrusko Our last political update for the week addresses two separate but related issues: how the leading pro-life Republican candidates; and how match up against pro-abortion President Barack Obama and how they are faring (as measured by polls) in the upcoming Michigan and Arizona primaries. Rasmussen reports that Obama is leading former Massachusetts …Continue reading "Latest Polling Numbers Show Obama Ahead of both Leading Republican Candidates"