By Dave Andrusko
Many pundits have wondered why pro-abortion President Joe Biden announced he was running for a second term when he did. Why not earlier, why not later?
Remember that campaigns poll constantly, so the Biden team knew before Gallup that the numbers had reached an all-time low. So it was that the same day Gallup’s Jeffrey F. Jones announced “Biden Begins Reelection Bid at Low Point in His Presidency” Biden said (in the face of 37% approval rating) “how’s about giving me another term?”
As John McCormack perceptive observed, “Biden’s latest approval rating is from an April 3-25 Gallup poll, which was completed the day he announced he will seek reelection, and marks a three-point dip from March and a five-point drop from February.”
There are many factors that account for Biden’s dismal approval ratings. This quote from the Wall Street Journal’s Aaron Zitner and Sabrina captures two of them.
Brett Young voted for President Biden in 2020. Now, as he considers the president’s age and performance in office, he thinks he might sit out the next election and pass on his chance to vote for Mr. Biden again.
“I don’t want to be anti-older gentry, but it gets to a point where they don’t know how the average American lives,’’ said Mr. Young, 29, a manufacturing worker in north-central Ohio, who says most of his views are liberal. “I wish they would get someone new.”
The latest poll finds 83% of Democrats, 31% of independents and 4% of Republicans approving of the way Biden is handling his job. The reading among independents ties as his lowest for that group and represents a nine-point decline since February. Biden’s chances of winning a second term will depend heavily on his ability to win independents’ votes. [Underlining added.]
Of course the economy, as always, looms large. As Americans confidence in the economy—and Biden’s ability to deal with it—has plummeted, it’s reflected in his job approval number which dropped below 40% for just the second time in Biden’s presidency.
Specifically, according to Jones,
19% say the economy is getting better and 75% worse, compared with ratings of 23% and 72%, respectively, in March.
The Economic Confidence Index has been mostly in negative territory during Biden’s presidency, except for registering +2 in April 2021 and +1 in June 2021. It fell to as low as -58 last June amid record-high gas prices and inflation.
We’ll keep an eye on this for you.