By Dave Andrusko
What is the main takeaway from Gallup’s latest poll on President Biden’s job approval? There are many awful figures but this is probably the topper: “Since Gallup started polling presidential approval in the 1950s, in fact, no one has ever rated more poorly in the summer of his second year than Biden.” That figure is 38%, the first time Biden has dropped below 40% in a Gallup survey.
Jeffrey M. Jones tell us “The July 5-26 Gallup survey finds 59% of Americans disapproving of the job Biden is doing, the highest for him to date.” He adds
While Biden retains the support of the vast majority of Democrats, his 78% approval rating among his fellow partisans ties as the lowest for him to date, having previously descended to that level in December.
The 31% of independents approving of Biden is a new low for him, while Republican approval continues to be scarce.
“Scarce” as in 13%!
The intensity is all anti-Biden. “Overall, more than three times as many Americans strongly disapprove of him (45 percent) than strongly approve (13 percent),” Ed Morrissey wrote.
Is there reason to believe Biden will bounce back in the next quarter? According to Jones
History suggests it would be unlikely for Biden’s approval rating to improve during his seventh quarter. To date, only one elected president — George H.W. Bush — has seen meaningful improvement in his seventh quarter. The increase reflected a rally in support for Bush after he condemned Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, which eventually led to the U.S. and allies fighting the Gulf War against Iraq in early 1991.
Support among Independents continues to drop while strong disapprove continues to rise:
Slightly more than half of independents have strong opinions about how Biden is doing his job, with far more of these independents disapproving than approving. Consequently, the largest number of independents, 43%, strongly disapprove of the way Biden is doing his job.
Keep those numbers in mind when you read the utterly predictable media account announcing “Biden is suddenly winning.”