By Dave Andrusko
Irony of Ironies. Rasmussen Reports—discounted in the past for its allegedly Republican leadings—show President Biden’s job approval numbers higher (relatively better) than a poll conducted by the Democrat-leaning USA Today!
Rasmussen has Biden’s approval rating at 39%, Rasmussen at 41%. The Real Clear Politics survey of 10 major news outlets have his average job approval at 39.7%. Let’s crunch a few numbers which really are astonishing.
“Only 39% of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, “writes USA Today’s Susan Page. “A stunning 47% ‘strongly’ disapprove; just 16% ‘strongly’ approve. Academic studies have shown that presidential approval is one of the most reliable predictors of what happens in midterm elections, and a rating this low would traditionally signal significant losses for the president’s party.”
Arguably the second most important question is whether the public thinks the country is on the right track or wrong track.
More than 7 in 10, 71%, say the United States is “on the wrong track;” 16% say it’s headed in the right direction. Even most Democrats say the country is on the wrong track, 46%-34%. Three
of 4 independents and nearly every Republican agree.
What about which party they want to see in charge? Page writes
Americans split 40%-40% when asked whether they would vote for a Republican or a Democrat for Congress if the election was held today. Independent analysts and strategists in both parties say Republicans are likely to pick up the handful of seats they need to take control of the House. Democrats now hold 220 House seats; 218 are needed for control.
This defies what most analysts are seeing. Republicans enjoy anywhere from 2 to 7 point advantage and most crystal ball gazers believe the Republicans will take the House easily. That, of course, is always subject to change, although the President’s negative impact on his Democrat party candidates—already a significant drag—could grow even larger.
Finally Byron York wrote of how for the first time, it had become acceptable for Democrats to say President Biden would be too old (assuming he ran and won) to serve a second term. York wrote
The possibility that the president is too old to be president right now is just too troubling for some Democrats to contemplate. But of course, Biden is too old to be president, right at this very moment. That is something that was known even before the 2020 election. In April 2019, as the Democratic primary race began to shape up, I wrote an article headlined, “Face it: Biden and Bernie are too old to be president.” There were concerns even then.
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