The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.
By Dave Andrusko
As we discussed over and over, no single poll means much. It’s the trends, and the President’s approval rating, according to Rasmussen, has been slightly above or slightly below 50% for the last week. That is good news, no matter how much the Establishment Media discounts the changing numbers.
And, the real battle is in the “battleground states,” where the election will be decided between pro-life President Donald Trump and pro-abortion former Vice President Joe Biden. Mr. Biden’s advantage in those states(which I’ve argued was always meaningless)is dissipating like the morning dew.
Take Pennsylvania, the “Keystone State” which was key in 2016 and will be again in 2020. The latest results from Monmouth includes this lead:
Joe Biden holds a 4-point lead over Donald Trump among all registered voters in Pennsylvania according to the Monmouth University Poll. Among likely voters, the race is a tight 1 to 3 points, depending on the expected turnout level. This shift from Biden’s larger lead just over six weeks ago is due to declining support for the challenger among men, voters under age 50, and voters in key swing counties.
As National Review Online’s Alexandra DeSanctis observed, a mid-July Monmouth poll “showed Biden with a ten-point lead among likely voters” [using the high-turnout model] and a 7point advantage using the low-turnout model [www.nationalreview.com/corner/monmouth-poll-trump-is-closing-the-gap-in-pennsylvania].
Pennsylvania is not an isolated case. DeSanctis added that over the last 5-6 weeks, “Biden’s commanding lead has steadily shrunk” in the battleground states.
In the overall RCP [Real Clear Politics] average of polling in the top battlegrounds — Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin — Biden’s advantage has dropped from a more than six-point lead in late July to a lead of about 2.5 percent today.
And, as we talked about yesterday, Biden’s advantage in Minnesota —if there really still is one—has all but vanished. Hillary Clinton barely carried my home state in 2016 by 1.5%.
Stay tuned. Each day, the contest grows closer and closer.