50 days to go until November 3 and what do we know?

By Dave Andrusko

With exactly 50 days to go until the General Election, here are four revealing tidbits to start the week off. A warning. Although the last item is misleading, it is very revealing.

“The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove”

“A Marist/NBC poll last week had Trump narrowly ahead of Biden among Hispanics in Florida, and the president is leading handily among Cuban Americans”—Rich Lowry, National Review Online

“Republicans Are Knocking On Doors. Democrats Aren’t. Biden’s Campaign Says That’s OK—National Public Radio.

“President Trump’s weekslong barrage against Joseph R. Biden Jr. has failed to erase the Democrat’s lead across a set of key swing states, including the crucial battleground of Wisconsin… In Wisconsin, Mr. Biden received 48 percent support compared with 43 percent for Mr. Trump. That’s a significant drop-off from June, when a Times/Siena poll showed Mr. Biden ahead by 11 points”—The New York Times

Whew, where to begin? 

*For starters, in the face of a tsunami of vicious personal attacks, President Trump’s approval ratings continue to hover about 50%, give or take a point or two, according to Rasmussen. I thought I had a handle on how low the media would go to elected pro-abortion former vice president Joe Biden, but, boy, was I wrong.

*Everyone understands the presidential election will likely be decided by a handful of competitive (“battleground”) states. Democrats need a huge advantage among Hispanics in states such as Florida. But the evidence continues to mount that President Trump is making serious inroads into the Latino community. To quote NBC News

Yet in a significant break from four years ago, Trump holds the narrow edge over Biden among likely Latino voters, 50 percent to 46 percent — with Trump leading sizably among Latinos of Cuban descent, and with Biden just slightly ahead among all other Latinos in the state.

How “significant”? Trump is ahead by 4 points in 2020. According to 2016 exit polls, he lost among  Latinos by 17 points–57%-40%–an astonishing 21 point turnaround!

*NRL News Today has written many posts about the conscious decision by the Biden campaign and its allies to essentially skip retail politics—most particularly door-to-door canvassing. By contrast, President Trump and the Republican National Committee have  gone all in. Even NPR, which despises President Trump, acknowledges this:

President Trump’s campaign says it knocks on a million doors a week. Joe Biden’s campaign hasn’t knocked on any doors to talk to voters for months. In lieu of in-person meetings, Democrats are focused on conversations they can have virtually.

NPR, as it should, gives Democrats a chance to say they don’t need door knocking:  Their “conversations were virtual, over the phone or via text message.”

But to NPR’s Asma Khalid’s great credit, she also points out what we’ve talked about for weeks:

But for Republicans, this is not an either-or operation. The Republican National Committee says it’s also contacting millions of people over the phone every week. But their volunteers and organizers are also knocking on doors in person.

Finally

*The ever-loving polls. To be clear, Biden is ahead in almost all the battleground states. But, as you find out when you read deeper into the New York Times article, the margin has continued to shrink. Analysts  can’t figure out whether to include Minnesota, even though Hillary Clinton won by only 1 and a half points in 2016.

I’m from Minnesota, and I keep very close tabs on what is taking place. When CBS News tells you Biden is up by 9 points, I would just say that may be the single most misleading number of all. The state is very much in play.

Stay tuned.