By Dave Andrusko
There is a lot to the old adage about not looking a gift horse in the mouth—especially in this case when the “horse” (the Washington Post) is unremittingly hostile to our Movement and pro-life Republicans.
Eugene Scott, identified as someone who “writes about identity politics,” has a fascinating first two paragraphs in a story that ran yesterday:
When the Senate voted Monday to block a proposed federal ban on abortions after 20 weeks, one of the constituent groups they may have offended is one that both parties are highly interested in winning: millennial voters.
A January 2017 Quinnipiac poll asked Americans whether they would support a ban on abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy if it were enacted in their state. Nearly half — 49 percent — of 18- to 34-year-olds said they would support it. The poll found that 35- to 49-year-olds were the only age group that supported the ban more.
Okay, a couple of points of amplification before going further. That 2017 Quinnipiac poll was, as they say, an outlier. It had only 46% of the entire sample opposing the ban. Other polls routinely have opposition in the 60s as we shall see in a second.
It also disagrees with the numbers Quinnipiac recorded a little over two years before. In a November 2014, a Quinnipiac poll found that in a nationwide poll, 60% would support a law such as the Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act prohibiting abortion after 20 weeks, while only 33% opposed such legislation. Women voters split 59-35% in support of such a law, while independent voters supported it by 56-36%. Almost exactly as many Democrats (46%) supported the bill as opposed it (47%). Such a law had majority support in all age groups, including 57% of those 18-29.
But for January 2017, the Quinnipiac poll completely rewrote the question, most significantly eliminating the exceptions for rape and incest that were included in the 2014 poll.
Back to other polls about the 20 week ban. There is, for example, last month’s Knights of Columbus annual Marist poll. The KOC asked about “banning abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy” adding “except to save the life of the mother.”
Almost two-thirds (63%) would ban abortions at this stage while only 33% would support allowing such abortions—virtually a 2-1 margin. And 61% of their youngest demographic (18-29)supported the ban as well!
All of this must obscure the larger point: Millennials are pro-life, a source of great encouragement to us and worry to pro-abortionists
Two other related points.
#1. “Sen. Angus King (I-Maine) explained at a Washington Post Live event Monday that he voted against the bill because ]99 percent of abortions take place before 20 weeks, so this is a solution in search of a problem.’” So that would be approximately 10,000 abortions. The number, in fact, is at least 11,000 to 13,000 abortions and probably a lot more .
Even for Sen. King, an awfully cavalier answer.
#2. Scott’s spot-on conclusion:
Nearly half a century after the historic Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision, the political climate proves that the culture battle over abortion is not over — and will continue with the youngest generation of voters. With Republicans controlling the White House and both chambers of Congress, many conservative voters may put increased pressure on their representatives to end all forms of legal abortion. And a bit of that pressure will come from millennial voters.