By Dave Andrusko
NRL News Today will have at least five posts today dealing with the Democratic National Convention and the race between Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump and pro-abortion-to-the-hilt Democratic Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
Let’s begin with the latest polls, ominous for Clinton, encouraging for Trump.
As we noted yesterday, the daily Los Angeles Times poll found Trump had assumed a 6.6 point lead–47% to 40.4%. That continued Trump’s streak of highly favorable polls following last week’s GOP national convention.
Today, that same USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Presidential Election “Daybreak” Poll found that Trump had increased his lead by almost a full point–he now led by 7.3 points, 47.4% to 40.1% over the former Secretary of State.
More important were Trump’s numbers in the most recent Reuters/Ipos tracking poll released Tuesday. Three weeks ago that poll mysteriously had Clinton up by a whopping 11 points, which was far different than any other poll.
In the latest poll of 962 likely voters, however, Trump was ahead 39% to 37%.
But, as they say, it’s the internals that tell the real story. According to Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey
The Reuters filtering system produces some surprising results in the demos (all LVs). For instance, Hillary only leads Trump by three points among women, 40.1/36.9; less than two weeks ago, that was a 19-point lead at 46.7/27.8.He leads among men 44/36.9, after having (improbably) trailed in that demo for almost the entire month. Trump has now established a wide lead among white voters, going from 39.9/39.1 ten days ago to 44.3/33.7 now. College graduates still prefer Hillary, but only 40/38 from 53/27.1 twelve days ago. Trump now leads or ties in every income demographic, including those making less than $25K, 41/37. (Oddly, the filter won’t return results for Hispanic voters, saying it has insufficient data.)
Everything is, of course, still up in the air until we see how much (or whether) Mrs. Clinton enjoys a convention “bump.”