Obama’s Hold on Young People Weakening?

By Dave Andrusko

President Barack Obama reacts after receiving an honorary associates degree of sciences at the Miami Dade College North and West Campus graduation, Friday, April 29, 2011, at the James L. Knight International Center in Miami.

Since we’ve already run a couple of stories this week about pro-abortion President Barack Obama’s electoral weaknesses, let me end the week with one more.

This comes from an article written by Neil Munro that appears today at the Daily Caller. The lead paragraphs are instructive.

“A very large proportion of recent university graduates have soured on President Barack Obama, and many will vote GOP or stay at home in the 2012 election, according to two new surveys of younger voters.

“’These rock-solid Obama constituents are free-agents,’ said Kellyanne Conway, president of The Polling Company, based in Washington, D.C. She recently completed a large survey of college grads, and ‘they’re shopping around, considering their options, [and] a fair number will stay at home and sit it out,’ she said.”

The second survey refers to work done by Joe Maddalone, founder of Maddalone Global Strategies. According to the story his firm took an informal survey of 500 post-grads (almost all between 22 and 28).

He found of this group–67% of whom are male and 83% of whom voted for Obama in 2008–that “only 27 percent are committed to voting for Obama again, and 80 percent said they would consider voting for a Republican,” according to Maddalone. By contrast 80% of those who voted for Republican Sen. John McCain for President in 2008 said they would vote GOP again.

Let me offer just one more quote

“Overall, roughly one-third of young voters have some college education, and one-half have college degrees, said Conway. Many are underemployed or unemployed, they’re worried about their debts and economic trends, and they’re worried about the value of their educations, she said. In 2012, she said, ‘I suspect a fair number will return to Obama, but maybe not enough, and not in the [swing] states where he needs them,’ she said.”

“Those states include Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Indiana, Virginia and Iowa, she said. All were won by Obama in 2008, and all were lost in state-wide elections to GOP candidates in 2010, she said.”

This is all preliminary and, of course, subject to change. But it does offer intriguing hints that Obama’s vaunted hold on “young people” has already begun to weaken.

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